Decision Simulation Service

OutcomeLab

Test the outcome before you commit.

OutcomeLab is Simplutech’s decision-simulation consultancy. We use MiroFish-powered scenario modelling to help you compare what is likely to happen if you choose option A, B or C.

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Scenario engine · Running Live

What is OutcomeLab?

It is not fortune-telling

OutcomeLab is for decisions that are too important to leave to gut feel but too urgent for months of traditional research. You bring the decision, the options and the context. We structure the scenario, run the simulation and return a clear report showing likely outcomes, risks, assumptions and recommended next actions.

OutcomeLab does not pretend to predict the future perfectly. It is a structured decision-support service. The value is in comparing plausible futures, surfacing hidden risks, challenging assumptions and helping you act with more confidence.

How MiroFish strengthens the method

MiroFish allows the decision to be rehearsed inside a simulated environment using multiple agents with different behaviours, preferences, objections and memory. Simplutech then turns that output into a practical decision report with commercial, operational and public-sector context.

The Process From decision to delivery

How it works

  1. Define the decision — what are you trying to choose between?
  2. Build the scenario brief — we capture options, context, constraints and goals.
  3. Configure the simulation — agents, behaviours, environment and assumptions.
  4. Run competing scenarios — option A, option B, option C in parallel.
  5. Analyse the outputs — surface trade-offs, risks and unexpected consequences.
  6. Deliver the report — executive summary, comparison, recommendation, action plan.
  7. Validate — track real-world results as the decision is implemented.

Typical outputs

Executive summary
Scenario comparison
Recommended decision
Assumptions log
Risk register
Sensitivity notes
Action plan
30 / 60 / 90-day measurement plan
Use Cases What we can simulate for you
01

Marketing spend optimisation

Where should your budget go? We model Facebook vs Google vs TikTok vs discounts vs branding across your specific audience and cost structure — and recommend the allocation most likely to deliver return.

Restaurants · E-commerce · Gyms · Local services
02

New business launch strategy

Soft launch or big launch? First 90-day budget plan? Best acquisition channels? We model the options for new businesses and startups to maximise early momentum.

Startups · New shops · Takeaways · Service businesses
03

Pricing strategy

Would a 5% price increase grow or shrink revenue? Does a premium tier cannibalise your core product? We model the scenarios before you change a single price.

Retail · Food · Subscriptions · Professional services
04

Customer demand modelling

Simulate busy periods, seasonal demand, staffing requirements, and inventory needs. Stop reacting to demand — start anticipating it.

Hospitality · Retail · Logistics · Trades
05

Competitor response scenarios

What if your competitor cuts prices? Should you match, improve service, or hold firm? We model the likely outcomes of each response strategy in your local market.

Any business in a competitive local market
06

Location & expansion decisions

Second branch? Delivery radius expansion? Combined with our GIS capability, we model demographic fit, catchment areas, and revenue probability by location.

Hospitality chains · Retail · Franchises

Public sector

Higher-value consulting for councils & government

Our background in government GIS and enterprise data delivery means we understand how public sector organisations work. OutcomeLab can model traffic policy impacts, service demand changes, citizen uptake of digital services, and budget allocation scenarios — giving decision-makers evidence before commitment.

Discuss a public sector project →
Traffic & transport policy Service demand modelling Digital service uptake Budget allocation scenarios Citizen behaviour modelling

Ready to run a simulation?

Tell us your question. We’ll scope the simulation, run the model, and deliver your scenario report.

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